NOTESTEIN'S DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION THEORY, ANALYSIS AND FORECAST

The indicator of the world's population has always been a fundamental factor for predicting the further development of mankind, because with its help we can assume the further distribution of resources, the level of well-being of countries and continents, as well as reconstruct the current behavior of society to improve the quality of life in the future. The number of people on the planet has always had an impact on the global economy, which is why it is so important to keep track of this number for accurate analysis. According to the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs, in 2022, humanity was not supposed to overcome the mark of 8 billion people, but on November 15 this year, earthlings reached this value, ahead of schedule [4]. There is a clear destabilization of economic development among entire continents in the world, affecting the population. This difference in progress helps us to study and understand society more deeply, as well as integrate new technologies to improve economic performance.